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AC资本市场:NFP 数据显示劳动力市场迅速降温,美元暴跌

2024-05-06 09:05:44



美国失业率上升,推动欧元/美元迅速上涨


美国失业率为3.9%,低于预期的3.8%和之前的3.8%。额外的疲弱消息来自非农就业变动数据,为175K,低于预期的238K和上个月的315K。


就业增长主要来自医疗保健、交通运输和仓储业。负面消息并不像看起来那么糟糕,因为自2023年8月以来,失业率一直在3.7%到3.9%之间的紧密范围内波动。


在负面消息后,欧元/美元上涨测试上升趋势线和1.08支撑点,如下所示。价格之前在100 SMA(黑线)和1.0650水平上找到支撑,形成了一个下降旗帜。

1.png

 EURUSD Weekly


类似于欧元/美元,美元/日元显示了美元疲软的迹象,价格从160暴跌,回落到先前的极高点约152。价格可能在152附近找到支撑;然而,熊市动能强劲,因此很可能很快无法维持。

2.png

 USDJPY Weekly


加拿大央行行长讲话发出令人担忧的展望


加拿大央行行长蒂夫·麦克莱姆对加拿大经济未来持悲观态度,因为通胀速度比美国更快下降。然而,他表示,随着通胀显示出持续较低的迹象,央行正在接近降息。


关于较低的通胀率,麦克莱姆说:“经济增长停滞不前,货物供应过剩,工资增长已经稳定,劳动力市场已经降温。”

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 USDCAD Weekly


消息发布后,美元/加元下跌,找到了上升趋势线和1.36支撑区域的支撑。价格可能会突破上升趋势线,很快测试1.36支撑的潜在可能性。




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